Posts Tagged ‘Taliban’

 

English: Obama Taliban

English: Obama Taliban (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

Note: The original of this article appeared on 11 September 2012, but its translation into English was delayed for technical reasons.

 

 

 

On the anniversary of the 9-11 terrorist attack in the US, Al-Qaeda, in the words of its leader’s brother, offered a truce to Western countries. A little earlier, a similar proposal was made by the representatives of the Taliban movement. Thus, America’s worst enemies, as if by agreement, have decided to present Barack Obama with a generous gift on the eve of the November 6th presidential election. Will the Democratic candidate accept?

 

“Bury the hatchet,” suggested Muhammad Ayman al-Zawahiri,  brother to the current leader of Al-Qaeda. He is voluntarily willing to take on the role of mediator in negotiations and has even proposed an action plan. It fits nicely on six pages and contains information about how to completely resolve all disputes with the US within a decade. According to CNN, the mediator wants the US to stop invasion of Muslim countries, free imprisoned Muslims and not to interfere with the imposition of Sharia law. In turn, the radicals will say no to terror and will support the USA and other Western states in their countries.

 

Let’s face it, the proposed conditions seem to be quite acceptable for the United States. The continuation of wars is a painful drain on the US budget, while releasing convicted terrorists is a minor technical problem. Where imposition of Sharia law is concerned, the US no longer interferes anyway.

 

The Taliban provided an almost identical proposal. Recently it became known that some of its leaders  would like to negotiate peacefully and offered to cease fire as a sign of good will. The Taliban demands that the US does not interference in the political and religious life of Afghanistan, and in return the Taliban will be ready to cooperate with the US in all other areas. To the point that they would even be willing to allow all major US military bases to remain on its territory. Oh and another condition – absolutely no cooperation with Karzai.

 

It would seem that on the eve of presidential elections President Obama should be happy to receive these offers, as they would allow him to go down in history as the winner of two wars (in Afghanistan and against terrorism). But this will not happen. Firstly, because Obama simply does not have the time to solve global issues until the 6th of November. Secondly, because it is absolutely unnecessary. Remember, this is not the first attempt to negotiate. For some reason, every time it looked as if some sort of accord was eminent, something ended up happening that completely destroyed any further progress. Either Al-Qaeda would blow something or someone one up, or the Marines would piss on corpses of the dead Taliban, or someone would burn the Quran.

 

And in any case, frankly, the terrorists’ true intentions are highly questionable. For example, in the case of the Taliban, the Western media refer to some “moderate members of the movement,” of whom no one knows anything. We also have doubts about this Muhammad Ayman al-Zawahiri character. There is absolutely no evidence of him having any influence over his brother. In addition, he spent the last 14 years in Egyptian prisons, and was released only recently, after the overthrowing of Mubarak. It is likely that he had contacts with the intelligence agencies of the West.

 

Thus, the whole story of “solutions you can’t refuse” looks more like Obama’s pre-election PR, rather than anything solid. Its purpose is to demonstrate Obama’s success in the fight against international terrorism, because its leaders appear to be literally on their knees, begging for peace. However, if we are wrong and the talks do take place and lead to eventual peace between the West and the Islamic world, for us it will be a very disturbing fact.

 

 

 

U.S. troops, who have recently burned the Quran and mocked dead bodies of Taliban soldiers, will be setenced. Details of the punishment are not known, however we do know that it will be a disciplinary action and not a criminal prosecution. Most likely, they face reduction in pay or reduction in rank. Meanwhile, foreign troops and Afghans continued to be killed in Afghanistan, while reports of bombings and other attacks come almost daily. Yet, there are some new trends in this conflict.

Lets review what we know so far.

It is known that the American justice system is very kind to its soldiers. For the burning of hundreds of copies of the Quran and mockery of Taliban corpses the guilty American soldiers will get a minimum sentence. Recall that earlier this year similar actions led to mass protests by the Afghan population, resulting in 30 dead, including two US soldiers. Following this, the Taliban began their traditional spring offensive, which this time was surprisingly extensive and effective. Among the most high profile attacks were the April attacks on foreign facilities across the country, including foreign embassies and the NATO mission in Kabul.

Against this background, foreign forces continue to leave Afghanistan. To date, 202 military bases have been closed, and a further 282 bases were transferred under the control of government security forces. Although the term “military base” includes conventional control points, some of which were not designed for more than 300 soldiers. However, active withdrawal of foreign troops from Afghanistan continues, and until the end of the year another 200 bases will be closed.

Reduction of the number of ISAF employees increases casualties of the Afghan military and police. The tally this year is about 600 Afghan police dead on a monthly basis, and about 50 foreign troops. Civilian casualties can not be numbered, but basic estimates show a rising trend.

The Taliban is also incurring losses. The spring offensive reduced their number by over 2,000 militants, forcing them to abandon outright assault in favour of guerrilla tactics. Among the most popular – widespread explosive booby traps and burning of fuel trucks in NATO supply trains.

The new trend of the conflict is the Afghan people’s militia. Ordinary people, seeing the helplessness of the authorities, took up arms to defend their lands from the Taliban. The first such spontaneous uprising in one of the provinces was met with unexpected success and became a model for other areas of the country. However, implications of this movement are difficult to estimate. On the one hand, it is a threat to the Taliban, and on the other – to the government, as the militia does not have any love for either side. Many forces will be tempted to take the lead in this movement and use it for their own political purposes.

Another growing trend is the sabotage attacks carried out militants who have successfully infiltrated the ranks of Afghan police. Their number and impact this year has increased dramatically. Thus 32 such attacks this year claimed the lives of 40 troops of the international coalition. This tactic has a major demoralizing effect on the foreign military as literally every minute they are forced to expect a shot in the back from their Afghan colleagues.

It is noteworthy that President Karzai blamed such acts of sabotage on foreign intelligence services. And even though no one was mentioned directly, it was clear that he was referring to Iran and Pakistan. Americans do not agree with such an assessment, but it does not make a difference – foreigners soldiers continue to die at the hands of militants in disguise.

Thus, the situation in Afghanistan after 11 years of Operation Enduring Freedom is a total disaster. And we have no illusions about the fact that after departure of the foreigners troops the Karzai administration would be able to resolve the situation.